Intro  |  About Climate Change  |  Consequences  |  Emissions Targets  |  Personal Action  |  Political Action

Does economic recession reduce carbon emissions?

At the time of writing the UK (and global) economy is in a serious recession. There are suggestions that this will reduce GHG emissions and so, at least temporarily, help to mitigate climate change. Whilst this may indeed happen, the recent historical evidence casts doubt on there being a very strong link between emissions and the performance of our economy.

Emissions graph

Looking for historical evidence for this, this graph compares UK CO2 emissions against a measure of the UK economy. The economic measure is called "Gross Domestic Product: chained volume measures: Seasonally adjusted" from the Office of National Statistics. Whilst it may not be the ideal measure (I am not an economist), it hopefully shows some indication of historic recessions.

These historical data seems to cast doubt that the recession will mitigate our GHG emissions. It is important to realise that this is UK data, and the picture may be different for other countries. Since the 1970's we have had access to North Sea oil and gas, which has been a cheap source of fossil fuels for us.

Return to main Emissions Targets page

[xhtml][css]© Chris Beales 2006-10[info][top]