Revised CO2 targets as part of the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) "Basket"
This section shows how dominant CO2 is as part of all UK Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions. It makes up 85% of our current emissions. Whilst the legally binding reduction targets relate to a number of different gasses, CO2 will still need to be cut by at least 74% by 2050. Progress on cutting other gases, like methane and nitrous oxide, has been good so far and largely due to these cuts we have already met our Kyoto Protocol targets.
The Kyoto Protocol identified a 'basket' of six GHGs considered to be the most potent and prolific. The following graph shows how these are split in UK emissions.
- Notice that all GHGs are already converted into "CO2 equivalent" (e.g. methane is 21 times more potent than CO2 so the actual emissions of 5 million tonnes in 1990 is equivalent to 105 million tonnes CO2).
- Even taking these factors into account, you can see that CO2 is by far the biggest contributor to our emissions. In 2007 it accounted for 85% of our greenhouse gas emissions.
- Notice that we have already met our Kyoto GHG targets (12.5% cut from 1990 level of 773 Mt CO2-eq). In fact by 2007, we have cut GHG emissions by over 18%
. Provisional figures for 2008 bring this up to a 19% cut (to 624 Mt CO2-eq). - However, most of this has been the result of cutting methane and nitrous oxide, which have been cut by 50%, compared to the 8.5% cut in CO2.
How does this effect UK CO2 targets?
As stated above, the domestic and international emission targets are for a basket of GHGs. If we reduced the other gases down to zero emissions, we would be allowed to emit more CO2. However, as you can see from the following this wont make a big difference to future CO2 targets.
- In the 1990 baseline year, CO2 accounted for 76.4% (CO2-equivalent) of total UK GHG emissions.
- The following graph shows the range in the "Agreed cut" CO2 reduction trend. The plume
shows the range in the CO2 target allowed if other GHGs are reduced to zero by 2080. - Notice that the plume does not spread far above the "Agreed cut" line. In 2050 the top of plume is 155 Mt CO2/yr, which is equivalent to a 74% cut in CO2.
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